A recently released Nigerian Development Update by the World Bank has raised questions about the transparency of the President Bola Tinubu-led government and the Nigerian National Petroleum Commission Limited (NNCPL) regarding oil revenue and the recent removal of the fuel subsidy.
“Nominal oil revenue gains have been evident since June. These are mostly categorized as “exchange rate gains”, suggesting that they are due to Nigerian naira depreciation.
“Except for the exchange rate-related increases, however, there is a lack of transparency regarding oil revenues, especially the financial gains of the Nigeria National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) from the subsidy removal, the subsidy arrears that are still being deducted, and the impact of this on Federation revenues.
“It is also unclear why retail petrol prices have not changed much since August, despite fluctuations in the exchange rate and global oil prices,” the World Bank report partly read.
According to the report, the World Bank suggests that while nominal oil revenue gains have been noticeable since June, the details surrounding these gains, especially in relation to the NNPC’s financial benefits from the recent fuel subsidy removal, lack transparency.
The report points out that the oil revenue gains are primarily attributed to “exchange rate gains,” indicating that they result from the depreciation of the Nigerian naira. However, the lack of transparency extends to key aspects such as the financial gains of the NNPC from the subsidy removal, ongoing deductions for subsidy arrears, and the overall impact on Federation revenues.
The World Bank also highlighted the puzzling trend of retail petrol prices remaining relatively stable since August, despite fluctuations in the exchange rate and global oil prices.
The report does not only raise questions about transparency but also emphasizes the need for clarity on why retail petrol prices have not reflected the changes in the broader economic landscape.
It’s worth noting that in October, the federal government announced an increase in Nigeria’s oil production to approximately 1.7 million barrels per day. This represented a significant surge from the 1.1 million barrels per day recorded in August 2023.
The World Bank’s report adds to the growing concerns surrounding the management and reporting of Nigeria’s oil revenues, calling for increased transparency to ensure accountability in the country’s economic landscape.